2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (2024)

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  • Anora15/2
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  • Mikey Madison 4/1
  • Karla Sofia Gascon 9/2
  • Angelina Jolie 5/1

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  • Sean Baker 9/2
  • Brady Corbet 5/1
  • Jacques Audiard 6/1

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  • Inside Out 24/1
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2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (2)

David Becker/Getty Images for The Recording Academy

The Grammys are handed out every year by the Recording Academy, an organization composed of music professionals representing different genres across the industry. For multiple years their nominations for Album of the Year were decided by clandestine nomination review committees, but the academy got rid of most of those in 2021, so now the decisions are made entirely by members at large. Scroll down for our latest racetrack odds, which are based on the combined predictions of Gold Derby users. Those odds are constantly changing, so we’ll be updating this list throughout the season.

Not everyone in the industry appreciates the Grammys, though. At the 2021 awards The Weeknd didn’t get a single nomination despite an acclaimed album (“After Hours”) and a song (“Blinding Lights”) so popular that Billboard ranked it as their number-one single of 2021 and the number-one song of all time. The Weeknd blamed corruption, and other artists like Halsey and Drake have complained too. The Weeknd has since boycotted the awards. Drake has repeatedly declined consideration as well. And in 2024 Jay-Z, upon accepting the Dr. Dre Global Impact Award, shaded the Grammys for snubbing his wife Beyonce for Album of the Year time and time again.

In 2022, the first year without the committees, the Grammys expanded Album of the Year to 10 nominations, though that has since been contracted back down to eight. The winner ended up being “We Are” by Jon Batiste, which was a surprise against higher-profile hits. So even without the committees to uplift underdog recordings, voters don’t necessarily default to the most popular hit in the lineup. The 2023 awards were also surprising, ending in the coronation of Harry Styles (“Harry’s House”) over the aforementioned Beyonce (“Renaissance”) and Adele (“30”). And history was made in 2024 when Taylor Swift accepted the prize for “Midnights”; that was her fourth win, making her the most awarded performer in the history of the category.

Swift is eligible again for 2025. Will she just keep on winning?

UPDATED: October 10, 2024

  • 1. Taylor Swift, ‘The Tortured Poets Department’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (3)

    Current Odds: 11/2

    Release Date: April 19, 2024

    Label: Republic

    Grammy History: She’s a 14-time winner at these awards, including four Album of the Year titles, which makes her the most awarded performer in the history of the category.

  • 2. Billie Eilish, ‘Hit Me Hard and Soft’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (4)

    Current Odds: 11/2

    Release Date: May 17, 2024

    Label: Darkroom/Interscope

    Grammy History: She has won nine Grammys including Album of the Year for her debut album “When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?” That made her the youngest artist to date ever to win the award.

  • 3. Beyonce, ‘Cowboy Carter’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (5)

    Current Odds: 11/2

    Release Date: March 29, 2024

    Label: Parkwood/Columbia

    Grammy History: With 32 Grammys, she’s the most awarded individual in the history of these awards, but she hasn’t won Album of the Year despite nominations for “I Am…Sasha Fierce,” “Beyonce,” “Lemonade” and “Renaissance.”

  • 4. Chappell Roan, ‘The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (6)

    Current Odds: 9/1

    Release Date: September 22, 2023

    Label: Amusement/Island

    Grammy History: She has no previous Grammy nominations.

  • 5. Vampire Weekend, ‘Only God Was Above Us’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (7)

    Current Odds: 12/1

    Release Date: April 5, 2024

    Label: Columbia

    Grammy History: The band has won two Grammys for Best Alternative Music Album, and they were nominated for Album of the Year for “Father of the Bride,” but they have yet to win in the general field.

  • 6. Charli XCX, ‘Brat’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (8)

    Current Odds: 13/1

    Release Date: June 7, 2024

    Label: Atlantic

    Grammy History: She has two previous Grammy nominations, including Record of the Year for “Fancy,” but she has no previous noms for Album of the Year.

  • 7. Ariana Grande, ‘Eternal Sunshine’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (9)

    Current Odds: 16/1

    Release Date: March 8, 2024

    Label: Republic

    Grammy History: She has won two Grammys in her career and was previously nominated for Album of the Year for “Thank U, Next.”

  • 8. Kacey Musgraves, ‘Deeper Well’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (10)

    Current Odds: 18/1

    Release Date: March 15, 2024

    Label: MCA Nashville/Interscope

    Grammy History: She’s a seven-time Grammy winner and a previous Album of the Year champ for “Golden Hour.”

  • 9. Chris Stapleton, ‘Higher’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (11)

    Current Odds: 20/1

    Release Date: November 10, 2023

    Label: Mercury Nashville

    Grammy History: He’s a 10-time Grammy winner and a previous Album of the Year nominee for his breakthrough solo album “Traveller,” but he has yet to win in the general field.

  • 10. Sabrina Carpenter, ‘Short n’ Sweet’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (12)

    Current Odds: 28/1

    Release Date: August 23, 2024

    Label: Island

    Grammy History: She has no previous Grammy nominations.

  • 11. Brittany Howard, ‘What Now?’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (13)

    Current Odds: 33/1

    Release Date: February 9, 2024

    Label: Island

    Grammy History: She’s a five-time Grammy winner. As the frontwoman for the band Alabama Shakes she was nominated for Best New Artist and then Album of the Year for “Sound and Color,” but she has yet to win in the general field.

  • 12. Pearl Jam, ‘Dark Matter’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (14)

    Current Odds: 48/1

    Release Date: April 19, 2024

    Label: Monkeywrench/Republic

    Grammy History: The band has one Grammy out of 12 nominations. They have one previous nomination for Album of the Year (“Vitalogy”).

  • 13. Jacob Collier, ‘Djesse Vol. 4’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (15)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: February 29, 2024

    Label: Hajanga

    Grammy History: He’s a six-time Grammy winner for Best Arrangement, and he was a surprise Album of the Year nominee for “Djesse Vol. 3,” but he has yet to win in the general field.

  • 14. Black Pumas, ‘Chronicles of a Diamond’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (16)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: October 27, 2023

    Label: ATO

    Grammy History: They’re seven-time Grammy nominees with no wins to date. They previously contended for Album of the Year for “Black Pumas (Deluxe Edition)” and Record of the Year for “Colors.”

  • 15. Dua Lipa, ‘Radical Optimism’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (17)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: May 3, 2024

    Label: Warner

    Grammy History: She’s a three-time Grammy winner and has a previous Album of the Year nomination for “Future Nostalgia.”

  • 16. Childish Gambino, ‘Bando Stone and the New World’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (18)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: July 19, 2024

    Label: RCA

    Grammy History: He’s a five-time Grammy winner with a previous Album of the Year nomination for “Awaken, My Love,” but he has yet to win this category.

  • 17. Doja Cat, ‘Scarlet’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (19)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: September 22, 2023

    Label: Kemosabe/RCA

    Grammy History: She has one previous Grammy win, and she earned an Album of the Year nomination for her last album “Planet Her,” but she has yet to win in the general field.

  • 18. Shaboozey, ‘Where I’ve Been, Isn’t Where I’m Going’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (20)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: May 31, 2024

    Label: American Dogwood/Empire

    Grammy History: Shaboozey has no previous Grammy nominations or wins.

  • 19. Dolly Parton, ‘Rockstar’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (21)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: November 17, 2023

    Label: Butterfly/Big Machine

    Grammy History: The legendary country star has won 10 Grammys in her career. She has one previous nomination for Album of the Year, for “Trio” with Linda Ronstadt and Emmylou Harris, but she has yet to win the award.

  • 20. Troye Sivan, ‘Something to Give Each Other’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (22)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: October 13, 2023

    Label: EMI Australia/Capitol

    Grammy History: He earned his first two Grammy nominations in 2024, but he has yet to win in any category. He has not yet been nominated for Album of the Year.

  • 21. Andre Benjamin, ‘New Blue Sun’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (23)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: November 17, 2023

    Label: Epic/Sony

    Grammy History: He has won nine Grammys, including Album of the Year for “Speakerboxxx/The Love Below” as a member of the rap duo OutKast.

  • 22. Post Malone, ‘F-1 Trillion’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (24)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: August 16, 2024

    Label: Republic/Mercury

    Grammy History: He has been nominated 10 times, including Album of the Year bids for “Beerbongs and Bentleys” and “Hollywood’s Bleeding,” but he hasn’t won a Grammy yet in any category.

  • 23. Metro Boomin and Future, ‘We Don’t Trust You’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (25)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: March 22, 2024

    Label: Wilburn Holding Co./Boominati/Epic/Republic

    Grammy History: Metro Boomin has no previous Grammy wins out of three nominations; he received an Album of the Year bid as a producer on Coldplay’s “Music of the Spheres.”

  • 24. Tyla, ‘Tyla’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (26)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: March 22, 2024

    Label: Fax/Epic

    Grammy History: She has one previous Grammy nomination and win for Best African Music Performance for “Water.”

  • 25. Jung Kook, ‘Golden’

    2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (27)

    Current Odds: 100/1

    Release Date: November 3, 2023

    Label: Big Hit

    Grammy History: He earned five Grammy nominations with the K-pop boy band BTS, including Album of the Year as a featured artist on Coldplay’s “Music of the Spheres,” but he has yet to be nominated as a solo artist.

  1. Jungkook should be nominated because he deserves and his album was bop

    Reply

    1. I dont believe he should, he could of least wrote 1 song on the Album Golden, but he wrote nothing and the songs fall short of being great pop songs

      Reply

  2. I love Taylor – I wont be surprised if she wins. But the Hozier album has reallllyyy been a repeat for me for the better part of the year!

    Reply

  3. WHERE IS Y$ MY BRO

    Reply

  4. It’s gotta be one of the “B'”‘s– BEYONCÉ, BILLIE, or BRAT. Critical and commercial successes which far exceeded the crowd and excelled beyond their expected genre or classification.

    Reply

  5. Please you guys should consider ayra star for grammy win

    Reply

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2025 Grammy predictions: Album of the Year (28)

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